Mexico has elected Claudia Sheinbaum as its first female president in 200 years of independent life, following an election day marked by high citizen participation. With 90% of the polling station records counted and compiled by the Preliminary Electoral Results Program (PREP), the candidate from the ruling party has been elected with 59.07% of the votes. She is followed by opposition candidate Xóchitl Gálvez, with 27.92%, and Movimiento Ciudadano candidate Jorge Álvarez Máynez, with 10.47%.
While data indicates Sheinbaum’s official election—having already received recognition from Gálvez and Máynez, and support from the international community—the president-elect will have to wait for the confirmation of the district counts, which began on Wednesday, June 5th, at 8:00 AM. So far, she has been recognized as the most voted-for person in the history of Mexico, with an estimated 35.5 million votes in her favor. Once her victory is official, Sheinbaum will begin her term on October 1st.
How Each State Voted in the Mexican Presidential Election
Yucatan Peninsula
In southeastern Mexico, encompassing Campeche, Quintana Roo, and Yucatán, Sheinbaum’s victory was decisive. The ruling party candidate achieved one of her largest margins of victory over other presidential candidates in Quintana Roo, securing 72.59% of the votes. The opposition coalition candidate from PAN, PRI, and PRD followed with 17.22%, and Máynez with 7.81%.
In Campeche, the PREP shows a preliminary result similar to Quintana Roo, granting victory to Sheinbaum with 60.50% against 21.35% for Gálvez. The election was tighter in Yucatán, where the now president-elect garnered 59.73% of the votes, nearly a 30-point lead over Xóchitl Gálvez.
Gulf of Mexico
In Tabasco and Veracruz, the presidential election was also entirely in favor of Sheinbaum. In Tabasco, López Obrador’s home state, the former head of the capital’s government obtained 80% of the votes, compared to a scant 11.36% for Gálvez. For its part, Veracruz—the fourth most populous state in the country with 6 million voters—gave Sheinbaum 66.27% of the votes, 23% to Gálvez, and 8% to Máynez.
Pacific Coast
Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, and Chiapas are home to a large part of the population living in poverty. There, Claudia Sheinbaum prevailed with a vote percentage significantly higher than her opponents. Her largest advantage was in Oaxaca, where she accumulated 76% of the votes against 14.63% for Gálvez, her closest competitor. In Guerrero, Sheinbaum added 71.21% of the ballots against Gálvez’s 19%. In Chiapas, the result was almost identical: 71% for the ruling party candidate, 16.65% for Gálvez, and 7.79% for Máynez. Lastly, Michoacán saw the most contested result among the presidential candidates in this region. There, Sheinbaum obtained 54.38% of the votes, compared to 29.78% for the Fuerza y Corazón por México candidate.
Central Region
The central zone of the country, the region that concentrates the bulk of the electoral roll, is made up of Querétaro, Hidalgo, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Puebla, and Tlaxcala. In Querétaro, Sheinbaum obtained 71.25% of the votes against 19% for Xóchitl Gálvez. In Hidalgo, the trend was similar, granting Sheinbaum 67.13% of the votes. In the State of Mexico, the gap narrowed slightly between the candidates, with 60.27% for Sheinbaum, 26.68% for Gálvez, and 10.75% for Máynez. In the case of Mexico City, voters gave Sheinbaum 55% of their votes, and Gálvez, 34.48%. The same trend held for Morelos and Puebla, where a 40-point difference separated the leading presidential candidates. In the case of Tlaxcala, Sheinbaum obtained 68.70% of the votes, compared to 15% for Gálvez.
Western Region
Guanajuato, Jalisco, Colima, Aguascalientes, and Nayarit make up the Western region of Mexico. In Guanajuato, the presidential candidates obtained a difference of only seven percentage points. In Jalisco, the gap is wider, with 44.03% of the votes for Sheinbaum, 36% for Gálvez, and 17.45% for Máynez. In Colima, voters gave 53.86% of the votes to the ruling party candidate, compared to 30.38% for the opposition standard-bearer. Aguascalientes, for its part, was a surprise for the Morena party, being the only state where its candidate lost to Xóchitl Gálvez. There, Sheinbaum obtained 42.35% of the votes, surpassed by Gálvez with 46.14%. In contrast, in Nayarit, voters gave Sheinbaum the victory with 62.46% of the votes, and Gálvez, 20.81%.
Northwestern Region
The states of northwestern Mexico, Durango, Sinaloa, Sonora, and Chihuahua, also granted victory to Claudia Sheinbaum. In the case of Durango, voters of the entity chose her with 57.43%, above Xóchitl Gálvez, with 32.81%, and Jorge Álvarez Máynez, with 7.54%. In Sinaloa and Sonora, the differences between Sheinbaum and the opposition candidate were almost 40 points, while in Chihuahua, Sheinbaum obtained 52.46% of the votes, Gálvez 35.31%, and Máynez 9.69%.
Northeastern Region
The Morena candidate has won in the states of northeastern Mexico: Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, Zacatecas, Tamaulipas, and Coahuila gave Claudia Sheinbaum the victory in her resounding win. In San Luis Potosí and Tamaulipas, the largest gap between the presidential candidates was observed, with almost 30 points difference, according to the PREP. These states are followed by Nuevo León, where Sheinbaum obtained the majority of the votes with 44.37% against Gálvez, who won 35.33%. In Zacatecas, Sheinbaum obtained 49.92% of the votes, and in Coahuila, 53.25% of the votes compared to 38.98% for Gálvez and a modest 5.51% for Máynez.
Baja California Peninsula
The last stronghold that granted victory to Claudia Sheinbaum is the Baja California Peninsula. In the State of Baja California, Claudia Sheinbaum obtained 65.31% of the votes against 22.08% for Gálvez, and 10.11% for Máynez. Finally, in Baja California Sur, Sheinbaum won 58.61% of the votes, the opposition candidate 30.24%, and, far behind, Máynez with 8.83%.
The results issued by PREP are preliminary and only show a trend in the voting. As they have no legal effect on the election, it is necessary to await the verdict of the district counts to define the final result of last Sunday’s elections.
